[Hawkular-dev] Forecasting of bad things

Catherine Robson crobson at redhat.com
Wed Mar 4 08:45:12 EST 2015


Heiko - thanks for sharing.  I know we have talked about this several 
times.  I'll see if Gabriel and Liz can include some examples of future 
metric projection in the work they are doing so we don't lose sight of it.

- Catherine

> Lukas Krejci <mailto:lkrejci at redhat.com>
> February 25, 2015 at 5:15 PM
> These guys have a very interesting modelled-after-brain thing for just 
> these
> types of things...
>
> Anomaly detection, autonomous temporal sequence learning, you name it ;)
>
> https://github.com/numenta/htm.java
>
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> Matt Wringe <mailto:mwringe at redhat.com>
> February 25, 2015 at 4:23 PM
> Does it only have to be about forecasting/projecting 'bad' things :)
>
> With more historical data, it could get more interesting than a just 
> an estimated straight line.
>
> Say if it was able to know that you have a large increase in power at 
> a particular time of day (eg a 30 minute commute on the train at 17:30 
> where you stream video). The forecasted chart in this case could have 
> a dip in battery reserves at about this time.
>
> But maybe you don't always stream video during your commute. So in 
> this case it could give you an estimated range instead of a particular 
> time.
>
> Although, bringing in historical data analysis and estimated ranges 
> tend to make things more complicated and the charts more confusing.
>
>
> On 25/02/15 03:04 PM, Heiko W. Rupp wrote:
>
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> Heiko W. Rupp <mailto:hwr at pilhuhn.de>
> February 25, 2015 at 3:04 PM
> Something I was talking about for a while ...
>
> I saw this today in Android 5 - they give you (when the device is 
> running on battery) not only a
> chart about past battery consumption (dark green), but also about 
> estimated future depletion (grey-green)
> and on top of the chart the current state (40%) + an estimate that the 
> battery will last ~4 more days at the
> same usage level.
>
>
>
> -- 
> Heiko Rupp hwr at pilhuhn.de <mailto:hwr at pilhuhn.de>
> Blog: http://pilhuhn.blogspot.com   @pilhuhn
>
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-- 
Catherine Robson
User Experience Design
Red Hat JBoss Middleware
c: 978-944-3825

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