Gabor's guestimate sounds like a good backup plan implementation.
Like you cant predict which nurses fall sick, you can presume (by historic
data) the average and max sick leaves over 3 seqential timeslots. And
scheduling your nurses tightly around that, minizes the irreplaceable nurses
who cannot fall sick.
You can presume (by historic data) the average sell out time. And scheduling
your adds tightly around that, is good.
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